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La Nina May Follow ENSO-Neutral During Fall Of Year
ENSO-neutral conditions prevail, with La Niña likely to emerge by winter 2025–26. While the Indian Ocean Dipole and MJO offer limited support, the southwest monsoon has gathered enough momentum to progress on its own. Despite weak oceanic signals, the monsoon is expected to cover the country within the stipulated timeline.
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मुंबई जल संकट की हकीकत: क्या मानसून ही है आखिरी उम्मीद, या है कोई और रास्ता?
मुंबई इस समय जल संकट की चुनौती से जूझ रहा है। मानसून पर निर्भरता, घटता भूजल स्तर और बढ़ती आबादी के बीच, शहर को स्थायी जल समाधान की सख्त जरूरत है। सात झीलों और भूजल स्रोतों के साथ-साथ अब वर्षा जल संचयन (रेनवॉटर हार्वेस्टिंग) की अहम भूमिका सामने आई है। जल प्रबंधन में वैज्ञानिक दृष्टिकोण, स्मार्ट नीति और जनभागीदारी से ही मुंबई भविष्य में जल संकट से बच सकता है।
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Mumbai’s Water Future: Beyond the Monsoon Reliance
Mumbai is facing a growing water crisis due to rising population, irregular monsoons, and rapid urbanisation. While reservoirs and monsoon rains are vital for the city's water supply, over-dependence is proving risky. Strengthening groundwater recharge, rainwater harvesting, and sustainable water management is crucial for Mumbai’s long-term water security.
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Neutral ENSO, Negative IOD, Meandering MJO, Offer Weak Push For Monsoon
The latest seasonal forecasts indicate a high likelihood of ENSO-neutral conditions persisting through the June–September 2025 period, with a marginal probability of La Niña development. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is also expected to remain neutral, with slight fluctuations possible. These combined neutral conditions suggest near-normal monsoon rainfall, though intra-seasonal variations and other atmospheric factors may influence regional deviations.
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