Warmest January For Mumbai: Temperatures Unlikely To Drop
Key Takeaways
- January 2026 is likely to be one of the warmest January months for Mumbai in the last decade.
- Average minimum temperature stood well above normal for a coastal city.
- Western disturbances restricted the inflow of colder winds into the Konkan region.
- Colder mornings are unlikely to return, with temperatures expected to rise gradually.
January is considered the coldest month for Mumbai. The mean monthly minimum temperature for the city during January stands at 16.9°C. The highest monthly average minimum temperature is recorded in May, at around 27°C. January 2026 has been assessed as warmer than normal and is likely to rank among the warmest in the last one decade. With just one day remaining in the month, temperatures are unlikely to change much and are expected to hover around 20°C tomorrow morning.
Mumbai (Santacruz) recorded an average minimum temperature of 18.2°C during January 2026, against its monthly normal of 16.9°C. For a coastal city, this represents a significant departure. Typically, Mumbai records minimum temperatures below 15°C at least once during January. However, both 2025 and 2026 have been exceptions, with the lowest minimum temperatures recorded at 15.2°C and 15.9°C, respectively. The city breached the 20°C mark on five days this month, while the highest minimum temperature of 22°C was recorded this morning. With these observations, January 2026 figures among the warmest January months of the past decade.
Frequent passage of western disturbances across the northern mountains and their induced circulatory patterns over the plains have restricted the incursion of colder winds into North Madhya Maharashtra and the Konkan region. This pattern is likely to persist, with no sharp drop in temperatures expected over the next one week. February generally marks a gradual rise in minimum temperatures, and readings are likely to remain around 20°C for at least the next week, or even longer. The phase of colder mornings over Mumbai appears to be over, with a gradual warming trend expected from here onward.
