Satellite Image, Courtesy: CIMSS
The depression over the east-central Arabian Sea continues to persist. The system had earlier formed over the southeast Arabian Sea on 22nd October and has been lingering over various parts of the ocean for over a week now. The system has meandered for an unusually long time, without any signs of landfall anywhere. It has moved northeastward slowly in the past 24 hours. It may retain this track for a little more time before reversing direction and gradually diffusing over the ocean itself. Under its influence, there has been unseasonal weather activity over Gujarat, Konkan, Madhya Pradesh, and Rajasthan, which is expected to cease by the end of this week.
So far, there have been significant weather systems on either side of the coastline over the oceans. Presumably, as it normally happens, they were complementing each other, a phenomenon popularly called the “dumbbell effect.” Now, the severe cyclonic storm over the Bay of Bengal has moved deep inland and weakened. It is likely to soften further and drift away, ending the ongoing reinforcement. Before it concludes, the weakened storm will track across the central and eastern parts of the country. The remnants of the system, in collusion with the depression over the Arabian Sea, will influence the weather activity over the Saurashtra and Konkan regions, albeit on a receding note.
The coastline of southern Saurashtra, south Gujarat, and north Konkan will continue to experience unseasonal weather activity. Places at risk will include Mahuva, Bhavnagar, Veraval, Diu, and Somnath. The north-south stretch along the west coast will include places like Bharuch, Surat, Navsari, Valsad, Vapi, and the north Konkan region. Heavy rains are likely over Dahanu, Palghar, Thane, Mumbai, Alibag, and Raigad. All these places in Gujarat and Maharashtra will experience rain and thundershower activity during this week, with a possible spillover into the start of next week. The inclement conditions will recede first from Konkan, followed by Saurashtra. Broad clearance over the region is expected from 4th November 2025 onwards.
