Skymet Weather Forecast May 14: Monsoon Conditions Strengthen Over Bay Of Bengal, Rain Likely Across South India
Representational Image: AI-Skymet
Key Takeaways:
- Conditions are turning favourable for Southwest Monsoon advancement over Andaman Sea and adjoining regions.
- Bay of Bengal low pressure area may intensify further during the next 48 hours.
- Heavy rainfall is likely over Andaman & Nicobar Islands and parts of South India.
- Severe heatwave conditions may continue over West Rajasthan.
The Weather Systems Over The Country
Conditions are becoming favourable for the advancement of the Southwest Monsoon over the South Bay of Bengal, Andaman Sea and Andaman & Nicobar Islands by the end of this week.
The low pressure area over the Southwest Bay of Bengal moved nearly northeastward and, at 5:30 a.m. IST today, May 13, was located over the Southwest and adjoining West-Central Bay of Bengal. The associated cyclonic circulation extends up to 4.5 km above mean sea level. The system is expected to become more marked during the next 48 hours.
A trough extends from the centre of the low pressure area over the Southwest and adjoining West-Central Bay of Bengal to the south Comorin area across South Tamil Nadu, extending up to 4.5 km above mean sea level.
A Western Disturbance is seen as a cyclonic circulation over North Pakistan and adjoining areas at 3.1 km above mean sea level.
A cyclonic circulation is persisting over West Rajasthan up to 1.5 km above mean sea level.
Another cyclonic circulation lies over Southwest Madhya Pradesh and adjoining areas, extending up to 0.9 km above mean sea level.
A trough extends from the cyclonic circulation over Southwest Madhya Pradesh to South Chhattisgarh across East Madhya Pradesh at 0.9 km above mean sea level.
A fresh Western Disturbance is likely to reach the Western Himalayas on May 15.
Weather Activities During The Last 24 Hours
During the last 24 hours, moderate to heavy rain and thunderstorms occurred over the Andaman & Nicobar Islands.
Light to moderate rain with a few heavy spells occurred over South Kerala and Sikkim.
Scattered light to moderate rain occurred over Assam, Meghalaya, Arunachal Pradesh, Nagaland, Kerala, Lakshadweep, Karnataka, Jammu & Kashmir, and parts of Bihar, Jharkhand, Odisha, West Bengal and Uttar Pradesh.
Light rain and thunderstorms occurred over Haryana, Delhi, Rajasthan, Himachal Pradesh and Uttarakhand.
Isolated light rain occurred over South Chhattisgarh and North Madhya Pradesh.
Heatwave to severe heatwave conditions prevailed over parts of West Rajasthan.
Heatwave conditions were observed in isolated pockets of Madhya Pradesh, Vidarbha and Gujarat.
Forecast
During the next 24 hours, moderate rain with a few heavy spells may continue over the Andaman & Nicobar Islands.
Light to moderate rain with one or two intense spells is likely over Sub-Himalayan West Bengal, Sikkim, Kerala and Tamil Nadu.
Light to moderate rain and thunderstorms are possible over Kerala, Tamil Nadu, Karnataka, Northeast India, parts of Bihar, Jammu & Kashmir, Himachal Pradesh and Uttarakhand.
Light rain is possible over parts of Odisha, Andhra Pradesh, Lakshadweep, and isolated pockets of Rajasthan, Haryana and Jharkhand.
Heatwave to severe heatwave conditions are likely over parts of West Rajasthan.
Heatwave conditions may occur over parts of Madhya Pradesh, Vidarbha and Gujarat.
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