Very Heavy Rainfall Over Mumbai For Next Five Days: Flooding Rains Over Many Parts
Key Takeaways:
- Mumbai has recorded over 500 mm rainfall during the last five days.
- Heavy rainfall is expected to continue till mid-next week with widespread disruptions likely.
- Multiple active monsoon systems are enhancing rainfall intensity along the Konkan Coast.
- July 2026 rainfall may exceed Mumbai’s monthly normal by a significant margin.
- Forecast Validity: next 5 to 7 days.
Mumbai is witnessing very heavy rains for the last few days. The city has accumulated over 500 mm rainfall during the last five days. Heavy rains are likely to continue till mid-week next. It may catch up with the July normal of 919.9 mm rainfall within the first ten days of the month. Normal life is expected to be thrown out of gear. The complete transportation activity will take a big hit. Rail, road, and air services will be impacted simultaneously.
Multiple factors, working in tandem, will disrupt the complete range of activities. The persistent inclement weather, without any significant break, may constrain the administration and leave them vulnerable to local afflictions. Both government and private sector workforces will have to join hands to work out the modalities to safeguard life and material. Commuting is advised to be minimal, and even air travel only when absolutely essential.
The southwest monsoon has revived strongly with the formation of a low-pressure area over the Northwest Bay of Bengal. The system is likely to become more marked. This has strengthened the monsoon westerly stream along the Konkan Coast. The offshore north-south trough from South Gujarat to Coastal Karnataka is also active. An east-west shear zone from South Gujarat to North Coastal Odisha is maintaining proximity to the capital city, Mumbai. The monsoon system over the Bay of Bengal and coastal parts will linger for some time. The extended stay of this low-pressure area will keep the monsoon active to vigorous over many parts, including Mumbai, for the next one week or so.
The month of July has a track record of performing exceptionally well for almost seven years, between 2018 and 2024. The city recorded rainfall in excess of 1500 mm for four years during this period. Last year, the monthly rainfall was 799.1 mm in July, slightly lower than the normal figure. Particularly, the city has a trend of registering heavy rains during El Niño years and drought years. Mumbai recorded July rainfall of 1771 mm in 2023, an El Niño year, and 1468.5 mm in July 2014, a drought year. July 2026 is expected to go beyond the normal figure by a decent margin.
Trending:
