Skymet Weather Forecast July 04: Low Pressure Area Over Bay Of Bengal To Trigger Heavy Rain Across Central & Western India

By: Mahesh Palawat | Edited By: Arti Kumari
Jul 3, 2026, 12:35 PM
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Representational Image: AI-Skymet

Key Takeaways:

  • Southwest Monsoon is likely to advance further into northwest India during the next 2 to 3 days.
  • A persistent low-pressure area over the Bay of Bengal is intensifying monsoon activity.
  • Heavy rainfall is expected over Konkan & Goa, South Gujarat, Madhya Pradesh, and Coastal Karnataka.
  • Light to moderate rain will continue across several northern, eastern, and southern states.
  • Forecast Validity: Next 24 hours.

The Weather Systems Over The Country

The northern limit of the monsoon continues to pass through Porbandar, Vallabh Vidyanagar, Neemuch, Tonk, Bhiwani, Bathinda, and latitude 32°N and longitude 70°E.

Conditions are favorable for the further advance of the Southwest Monsoon into some more parts of the north Arabian Sea, Gujarat, the remaining parts of Madhya Pradesh, Haryana, and Punjab, and some more parts of Rajasthan during the next 2 to 3 days.

A low-pressure area over Northwest Bengal and adjoining North Odisha-West Bengal coast persists. The associated cyclonic circulation extends up to 7.6 km above mean sea level, tilting southwestwards with height. It is likely to become more marked during the next 2 to 3 days.

The cyclonic circulation is over Central Pakistan and adjoining Northwest Rajasthan, extending up to 1.5 km above mean sea level.

The seasonal trough at mean sea level extends from Northwest Rajasthan to the center of the low-pressure area across the cyclonic circulation over Southwest Uttar Pradesh, North Madhya Pradesh, and North Chhattisgarh, extending up to 1.5 km above mean sea level.

The offshore trough at mean sea level running from South Gujarat to Karnataka persists.

The shear zone is running along latitude 21°N between 3.1 and 7.6 km above mean sea level.

Weather Activities During The Last 24 Hours

During the last 24 hours, heavy rain occurred over Konkan and Goa.

Light to moderate rain with a few heavy spells occurred over South Gujarat, Coastal Karnataka, Kerala, Lakshadweep, Andaman and Nicobar Islands, Odisha, Vidarbha, Chhattisgarh, Jharkhand, Uttar Pradesh, and East Rajasthan.

Light to moderate rain occurred over Northeast India, West Bengal, Odisha, Uttar Pradesh, Coastal Andhra Pradesh, Telangana, South Madhya Maharashtra, Gujarat, Sikkim, Uttarakhand, and Himachal Pradesh.

Light rain occurred over Tamil Nadu, Jammu & Kashmir, Ladakh, and Interior Karnataka.

Forecast

During the next 24 hours, moderate to heavy rain is possible over South Gujarat, Konkan and Goa, Coastal Karnataka, North Kerala, parts of Vidarbha, South Odisha, South Chhattisgarh, and Madhya Pradesh.

Light to moderate rain with a few heavy spells are possible over Northeast India, Sub-Himalayan West Bengal, Sikkim, Southeast Rajasthan, Lakshadweep, Himachal Pradesh, and Uttarakhand.

Light to moderate rain may occur over parts of Bihar, Uttar Pradesh, Punjab, Haryana, Delhi, Interior Karnataka, Andhra Pradesh, parts of Tamil Nadu, Jammu & Kashmir, and Ladakh.

Light rain is possible over Coastal Tamil Nadu.

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Mahesh Palawat
Vice President of Meteorology & Climate Change
Mr. Palawat, Vice President of Meteorology & Climate Change, is a former Air Force boxer and a passionate weather enthusiast. Dedicated to tracking and predicting weather for the benefit of farmers and the general public, he has been an integral part of Skymet since its inception.
FAQ

South Gujarat, Konkan & Goa, Coastal Karnataka, Madhya Pradesh, and parts of Odisha are likely to receive moderate to heavy rainfall.

Yes, conditions are favorable for the further advance of the Southwest Monsoon into parts of Gujarat, Rajasthan, Haryana, Punjab, and Madhya Pradesh during the next 2 to 3 days.

A persistent low-pressure area over Northwest Bengal and adjoining Odisha coast, along with an offshore trough and shear zone, is driving widespread rainfall activity across India.

Disclaimer: This content is based on meteorological interpretation and climatological datasets assessed by Skymet’s forecasting team. While we strive to maintain scientific accuracy, weather patterns may evolve due to dynamic atmospheric conditions. This assessment is intended for informational purposes and should not be considered an absolute or guaranteed prediction.

Skymet is India’s most accurate private weather forecasting and climate intelligence company, providing reliable weather data, monsoon updates, and agri-risk management solutions across the country.